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October new home sales in Ottawa stay hot, hot, hot

Fueled by sizzling launches in Barrhaven, October new home sales in Ottawa exploded, according to the latest industry report.

There were 762 new home sales for the month, up 35 per cent over October 2018, says analyst PMA Brethour Realty in its monthly report for the Greater Ottawa Home Builders’ Association.

Sales were also up 14 per cent from last month, when there were 667 new home sales. And for the year to date, sales are 5,568, up 27 per cent compared to last year when they were 4,375.

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It’s “essentially the same story as previous months,” says PMA’s Ottawa president, Cheryl Rice. “Ottawa has been experiencing a good supply of new homes combined with exceptional consumer demand.”

We’re entering a speculative phase​ following last year’s reduction in supply and the federal government’s introduction of the mortgage stress test, she says, which is pushing up new home prices.

“This is largely attributed to immigration, an influx of investors into Ottawa, employment opportunities, strong local economy and affordability, in spite of price increases. Low resale inventory also continues to fuel new home sales.”

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Heading south

The south end of the city — particularly Barrhaven — drew the most attention, capturing half the market share for the month (49 per cent). This was thanks in large part to the launch of two new projects in Barrhaven, The Ridge by Caivan Communities and Flagstaff by Glenview Homes.

 

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We have some campers! The line up has started for our Flagstaff community! #glenviewhomes #flagstaff #ottawarealestate #homebuyers #futureneighbors

A post shared by Glenview Homes (@glenviewhomes) on

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By the end of opening weekend, Flagstaff had sold out of its initial release of 39 singles and towns, while The Ridge, which released 165 singles and towns, has sold all 94 towns and more than half of its 71 singles, rocketing Caivan to the top of the market share list by builder for October.

In another sign of the popularity of townhomes, a full 50 per cent of the homes purchased in October were towns, continuing a pattern seen in August and September.

“(This) is shaping up to be a stellar year for Ottawa new home sales,” Rice said last month.

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On the resale front

When it comes to the resale market, despite a chronic shortage of inventory, Ottawa had a “whirlwind” month, says the Ottawa Real Estate Board.

There were 1,607 sales in October, up almost 17 per cent from the 1,375 sold in October 2018. The five-year average for October is 1,319.

“New listings are down, inventory remains scarce, and yet more homes changed hands this October than in the past decade and a half,” board president Dwight Delahunt says in a release. “It’s perplexing at first; however, when you consider the current breakneck transaction pace in the Ottawa resale market, often requiring home buyers and sellers to make swift decisions, it makes sense.”

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The number of days a property is sitting on the market dropped to about 30 — 28 days versus 47 for condos and 33 versus 43 days for other properties. “Products are flying off the shelves, so to speak,” says Delahunt.

The average price for a condo was $319,208, up 18.3 per cent from last year, while the average sale price for other properties was $483,405, an increase of 7.6 per cent. For the year to date, condo prices are up 9.1 per cent and other properties are up 8.3 per cent.

“We are seeing slightly above-average climbs in home prices this year, and the equity in many properties is undoubtedly increasing, which is great news for homeowners,” says Delahunt. “Still, the growths are reasonable considering the state of the market.”

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He also notes that 36 per cent of homes are selling over asking, compared to 21 per cent at this time last year. “Even though there are incidences of multiple offers and homes sold for over market value,” he says, “it is a phenomenon that is affecting specific pockets of the city, but certainly not every neighbourhood or property type.”

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About the Author

Anita Murray

Anita Murray

Anita Murray is the co-founder of All Things Home Inc. and owner of Three C Communications. The veteran journalist has covered the Ottawa housing industry since 2011.

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